To
Be or not to be; that is the question
Whether
‘tis nobler in the mind to suffer
The
slings and arrows of outrageous fortune
Or
take arms against a sea of troubles
And
by opposing, end them
Excerpt
from Shakespeare, Hamlet, III, 1
This
is indeed the cry of many members of the Private Sector, who are now very much
in expansion mode, thanks to the favorable investment climate created by the
just concluded JDX (Jamaica Debt Exchange) as stated in the article “JDX ends at 99
per cent; Minister says thanks”, published Thursday, February 25,
2010, The Jamaica Observer.
According
to the letter to the editor entitled “Jamaicans
ignoring the positives”, published Monday June 14 2010, by Carlin
Cook, The Jamaica Gleaner, Mr.
Carlin Cook posit the fact that:
1.
The police have reported no murders in a
forty eight (48) hour period from Friday 11th June 2010
2.
The Jamaica dollar is strengthening against
all currencies
A
result of the JDX and the IMF deal and our interest rate as issued by the BOJ
is now in stable single digit territory, quoted here as approximately 9.5%, the
lowest in twenty eight (28) years.
As
if that was not enough to encourage further macroeconomic stabilization, the
strengthening of the Jamaican Dollar translates to a ripple effect thought the
Jamaican Economy, in the form of a decrease in Electricity Rates.
Hence
the lowering of the rate hike of 4.7% granted by the OUR (Office of Utilities
Regulation) to the JPS Co (Jamaica Public Service Company Ltd) to approximately
2.7% based on the First News, aired Tuesday June 15th 2010
by Simone Clarke-Cooper, Smile Jamaica, Television Jamaica
A
reduction in the prices of certain products led by Mr. Matalon owned Wisynco
Group as per advertisement on Sunday June 13th 2010 in the
Sunday Gleaner, pg. A11 and a similar push by National Bakery to salute
fledgling businesses in Jamaica titled The Bold Ones as per
advertisement on Sunday June 13th 2010 in the Sunday Gleaner,
pg. F8, F9.
The
revaluing of the dollar affects exports by making their “artificially” more
expensive and thus unattractive to merchants abroad who naturally are looking
for goods at cut rate prices, a phenomenon and solution for which are
thoroughly analyzed in my blog article
entitled “Alternative
Energy and the Revalued Dollar - Cheaper Electricity is Needed”.
But
it is the diversification of the Energy Sector, hitherto christened the Energy
Sector Liberalization that Private Sector inclusive of FDI (Foreign Direct
Investors) such as Hotels and Telecoms Providers are waiting with bated breath
as Senator James Robertson, Minister of Mining and Energy negotiates with
principal suppliers and Contractors with regards to the usage of LNG (Liquid
Natural Gas).
This
is stated by the JPS Co as resulting in a 20% to 30% decrease in the
Electricity bills of customers as stated in the article “Government eyes
LNG cure for Energy problems”, published Wednesday June 16 2010 by
Laura Redpath, Senior Staff Writer, The Jamaica Gleaner.
This
is necessary to encourage Private Sector to begin its ambitious expansion plans
and thus generate growth and employment, growth here being referred to as not
only employment but also increased exports and foreign exchange inflows as
stated in blog article entitled “Alternative Energy
and LNG - Is Energy Sector Liberalization Necessary?”.
The
strengthening of the Jamaica dollar necessitates either cheaper Electricity
from the number one (1) Power Utility Company (PUC), that being JPS co, or the
so-called Energy Sector Liberalization, which though necessary as far as
Senator Phillip Paulwell, Opposition Minister of Mining, Energy and ICT have been
strenuously lobbying for on behalf of John Public as stated in the article “Government,
Opposition wrangle over Energy”, published
Saturday April 3, 2010, The Jamaica Gleaner.
Followed
up by further calls for Energy Sector Liberalization as stated in the article “Paulwell calls
for number portability”, published, Wednesday April 21, 2010,
Daraine Luton, Senior Staff Reporter, The Jamaica Gleaner and later when
Senator Phillip Paulwell, Opposition Senator on Mining and Energy stated that
“the current cost [Electricity and Fuel] is astronomical, especially for
businesses.
What
is needed at this time is competition in the sector,” as he stated in the
article “'Follow my
Blueprint' - Paulwell pushed for breakup of JPS Monopoly”, published
Friday April 30 2010, Mark Titus, Business Reporter, The Jamaica Gleaner, all of which of
course is document in my blog article
“PetroCaribe Trap
- Does this mean that Energy Sector Liberalization will not occur”.
John
Public, in retrospect, has been wondering if Energy Sector Liberalization is
even at all necessary. After all, we cannot trust the JPS Co and the Government
of Jamaica and its negotiations with Contractors to achieve conversion to the
usage of LNG, which may not occur before 2012 and Energy Sector Liberalization.
Though
a wonderful construct of engineering efficiency and a market elixir for
competition, it may not come on stream any earlier than 2012AD either due to
the technical hurdles that must be overcome in enabling competition.
Then
there is the apparently overlooked the Bio-Fuel Industry in general,
specifically as it relates to the production of Anhydrous Ethanol using sewage,
and pyrolized organic waste from any organic source as stated in the article:
1.
“Microbes to
start making ethanol, chemicals”, published November 18, 2009 9:52
AM PST by Martin LaMonica, CNET News –
Green Tech
2.
“Microbe converts
sludge to ethanol”, published Friday 11, December 2009, by Martin
LaMonica, CNET News – GreenTech
3.
“Wood-chip
ethanol maker opens plant”, published October 15, 2009 7:50 AM PDT
by Martin LaMonica, CNET News –
Green Tech
4.
“A Forest
epidemic turns into Energy opportunity”, published April 7, 2010
2:04 PM PDT by Candace Lombardi CNET News -
Green Tech
So
too must be the acceleration of the development of Bio-Diesel as detailed
in the article:
1.
“Gene-altered
bugs make Bio-Diesel”, published Wed Jan 27, 1:31 pm ET by AFP,Yahoo News!
2.
“'Green' gas and
Diesel get boost in Bio-Fuels grant”, published December 4, 2009
12:33 PM PST, by Martin LaMonica, CNET News -
Green Tech
3.
“Researchers coax
bacteria to make Bio-Diesel”, published January 27, 2010 3:59
PM PST by Martin LaMonica, CNET News -
Green Tech
Even
in the traditional frontier of Solar power, the Government of Jamaica must
begin its expansion with the recent implementation of practical Steam Plants in
the case of eSolar as stated in the article “eSolar plugs
solar plant into California grid”, published August 4, 2009 9:01 PM
PDT by Martin LaMonica, CNET News -
Green Tech as the only shining example thus far of a solar power plant able to
deliver power competitively lower than that of Fossil Fuels.
Even
the production of LPG (Liquid Petroleum Gas) and LNG (Liquid Natural Gas) as
well as Hydrogen must be considered a part of the Energy mix along with the use
of the Bloom Energy Server as stated in the article “Bloom Energy
unveils Fuel cell of the future”,
published Thursday February 25,
9:01 am ET by Glenn Chapman, AFP, Yahoo News!.
But
the development of the Bio-Fuels Sector has its own stumbling block in the fact
that it takes Energy to make Bio-Fuel. So unless a suitable means can be found
to make Bio-Fuels the growing of Agricultural Crops would not be competitive
with Fossil Fuel.
This
has to be achieved in a one step process that is not Energy intensive or at
least uses off-the-grid power, such as:
1.
Solar/Wind Power
2.
Bio-Fuels, be it E85, Anhydrous Ethanol,
Bio-Diesel, LPG (Liquid Petroleum Gas)
3.
LNG
4.
Hydrogen produced from Seawater
Fossil
Fuels can themselves be a source of the Bio-Fuels, which is very possible, as
E85, Anhydrous Ethanol, Bio-Diesel, LPG (Liquid Petroleum Gas) and LNG and
Hydrogen can be produced from Petroleum, with the help of genetically modified
Bacteria in factory scale operations.
This
too, will also take another four (4) years to become a practical, efficient and
economically feasible reality, whether or not economy-of-scale is applied.
Telecom
Providers, especially, among the FDI’s, albeit not squealing, are nonetheless
interested in increasing their profitability by reducing Energy, but are not so
readily inclined to spending additional money on buying Solar/Wind
installations, as it does not contribute to making revenue directly, merely to
saving on expenditure on Electricity.
Because
of the consistent profit stream from offering Voice Services, be it Postpaid
Contract, Prepaid (Postpaid in Jamaica), Pay-as-you-go (Prepaid in Jamaica) and
Data Services, be it Capped or Unlimited Wired or Wireless Broadband plus the
occasional VAS (Value Added Service), Telecom Providers, being of the “old
School” of profit making, are less inclined and risk-averse to spend on
experimentation or even basic market research.
Most
employees and management are intoxicated by the higher-than-normal lifestyle
being afforded by the offering of Telecom Providers services and benefits
derived thereof, from expensive overprices smart phones (the Blackberry Bold is
not a smart” phone to have, FYI).
This
is a reason why most employees stay despite being stuck in a lemming-like
existence of following orders and “going with the flow”, an innovation devoid
culture of maintenance to keep the Switch going at all costs, as the revenue
stream is guaranteed. This is owing to the fact that they are a Utility
and as such are necessary for Customers to go about their normal daily lives and
as such, will always be around and hence a steady source of employment.
Surprisingly
therefore, that when I came across this story, I nearly spilled my Bourbon (the
biscuit, not the wine….. I am what Americans refer to as a “tee-totaller”): a
contractor that does Cell Tower Maintenance as well as being a Mobile Telecom
Provider named Core Communications is experimenting in a three (3) month trail
with Wind Power for power resale to the local Power Utility Company, in no
better place than Southern California.
Core
Communications is one odd little Black Foot Ferret. Core Communications are
slated to begin in 2010 a trial run with a wind startup named Helix Wind, that
specializes in designing small Vertical-axis Wind Turbines (VWT) that can
generate Electricity even in wind speeds as low as 10 km/h as stated in the
article “Powering cell
phone towers with wind”, published November 11, 2009 11:35 AM PST by
Candace Lombardi, CNET News - Green
Tech.
Their
concept is rather simple: Telecom Provider Core Communications has a lease
financing arrangement, similar to car loans as stated in the article “A financial fix
for wind turbine outlay”, published August 26, 2009 6:38 AM PDT by
Candace Lombardi, CNET News - Green
Tech to purchase small Vertical-axis Wind Turbines.
The
small Vertical-axis Wind Turbines, which are used to power the Cell Towers and
its RBS (Radio Base Station) or BTS (Base Transceiver Equipment), whichever is
to your linguistic penchant.
Excess
power generated from the powering of the cell site is sold to the Utility
companies and is thus able to earn Core Communications revenue, effectively
making the investment not only a money saver but also a money turner for the
Telecom Provider.
Albeit
this test is slated to occur in 2010, with no news of its success, it is good
to note that that concept would be very applicable and attractive to Telecom
Provider here in Jamaica under a liberalized Energy Sector, as any additional
expenditure that earns revenue for the Telecom Provider would make them more
inclined to go Solar/Wind, as saving on expenditure.
As
far as Telecom Operators are concerned, is not real cash, being as it is not
money coming directly coming from customers and may easily be gobble up by
project overruns, ironically due to the inefficiencies of the management and
their lack of interest in perusing a philosophy of efficiency at every stage of
work.
This
is from the Fuel that vehicles spent on generators to work conditions in an
office and the use of air conditioning that may be wasteful – and then
constantly monitoring such Energy waste, often seen by management as tedious.
Power
consumption and ambient temperature can be tracked by using a Network of Smart
Meters and Smart Thermostats integrated into a so-called Smart Grid that
wirelessly send information back to a Central Server using the EDGE (Enhanced
Data Rates for GSM Evolution) as described in the article “Smart Meter
coming to a Utility near you”, published November 2, 2009 7:32 AM
PST by Martin LaMonica CNET News -
Green Tech
A
trend that is expected to increase in 2015AD to US$200 billion as predicted in
the article “Smart-grid
spending to hit US$200 billion by 2015”, published December 28, 2009
7:15 AM PST by Lance Whitney CNET News -
Green Tech.
Additionally,
there is an interesting spin-off from such a massive migration of indoor Switch
Equipment and MGW and outdoor Nodes for the Node B’s or BTS (Base Transceiver
Stations) by Telecom Provider’s LIME and Telecom Provider CLARO,
otherwise known as RBS (Remote Base Station) by Telecom Provider Digicel from Power from the Power
Utility Company which in this case is JPS Co to a Renewable Energy System!
In
that scenario Solar Panels/Wind Turbine combination would be Primary Power and
Bloom Energy Servers as Secondary Power with JPS Power as Tertiary Power
Source, it would significantly lower costs in terms of Power and Telecom
Provider could return to the days of providing “all-you-can-eat” uncapped Data
Plans.
Alternative
Energy is the Telecom Provider “strong tower” and is an investment in the long
run that benefits the Telecom Provider with stable clean and fully auditable
power usage that reduces costs which can be easily passed on to the
consumer…………
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