The
delay of the General Election came as quite a surprise to many Jamaicans.
On
Sunday November 22nd 2015, Prime Minister of Jamaica Portia
Simpson-Miller during a campaign meeting in Black River, St Elizabeth, decided
that Jamaica would not go to the polls as reported in the article “No
2015 Poll - Portia Opts Not To Call Election This Year”, Published Monday
November 23, 2015 by Daraine Luton, The
Jamaica Gleaner.
This
after building up anticipation for quite awhile. Still she did say that Elections
would not be called during the Christmas period, making Santa Clause (read
Business people) fearful of Election violence interfering with their business
quite happy.
However,
this delay will cost Jamaica quite a bit, roughly about JA$20 million plus as
noted by Director of Elections, Orrette Fisher in the article “ECJ
Still Calculating Cost Of Delayed Announcement Of Elections”, Published
Tuesday December 1, 2015, The Jamaica
Gleaner.
The
ECJ (Electoral Commission of Jamaica) was all revved up to go, training Election
Day workers as setting up polling stations. So now with this snap announcement,
all that activity has been halted basically saving Christmas, throwing the JLP
(Jamaica Labour Party) off Track!
So
why would the PNP (People's National Party) call it quits when the going was so
good?
PM calls off General Elections
- Why the Dead Babies Scandal of 2015 means General Elections now would be
Political suicide
The
answer is not politics but science!
The
PNP is currently being inundated with scandal after scandal, most notable the
death of some nineteen (19) out of the forty two (42) babies have died from
Klebsiella and Serratia bacterial infection since June 2015 as noted in my blog article
entitled “19
Babies now dead from Klebsiella and Serratia bacterial infections - How More
Babies will Die as Drought continues”.
The
Minister of Health Dr. Fenton Ferguson came under intense pressure from Public
and Private Sector interest to resign as already managers at the UHWI
(University Hospital of the West Indies) have resigned as noted in my blog article
entitled “Public
pressure over 19 Baby deaths forces Minister of Health to release Health Audit
- Why UHWI Legal Action for Ministry of Health Coverup is coming”.
On
Friday November 6th 2015, Prime Minister of Jamaica Portia
Simpson-Miller reassigned Minister of Health Dr. Fenton Ferguson to the
Ministry of Labour and Social Security as noted in the article “Prime
Minister Strips Ferguson Of Health Portfolio”, published Friday November 6,
2015, The Jamaica Gleaner.
This
basically relieves Derrick Kellier, the Minister of Labour and Social Security
of his portfolio and gives him a full time role in the Ministry of Agriculture
and Fisheries which is still yet to launch a drone program to combat praedial
Larceny both on land and at sea as noted in my blog article
entitled “Jamaican
Drone Contractors Testing Drones in Pedro Cays – Why Ministry of Agriculture
needs Drones to catch Poachers in the Act”.
This
strategy ensures that they keep the East St. Thomas constituency that Dr.
Fenton Ferguson is in charge for almost five (5) terms, making him the longest
serving MP as noted in the article “#ElectionJa
– Meet Your MP: Dr Fenton Ferguson”, published November 12, 2015 by diGJamaica.
So to fill the Ministry of Health Portfolio, she's drafted in Horace Dalley the minister with responsibility for the Public Service in the Ministry of Finance and the Public Service.
Already
he's showing a new strategy with dealing with the death of the (nineteen (19)
babies by actually meeting with the mothers not to negotiate but to offer his
condolences as noted in the article “Dalley
to meet with mothers of dead babies tomorrow”, published Thursday, November
12, 2015 by Tanesha Mundle, The
Jamaica Observer.
He's
also dealing with a slowly growing scandal relating to the burial of sixty five
(65) stillborn babies to which Minister of Health Horace Dalley has called a
halt as noted in the article “Halt
To Baby Burials - Dalley Asks If Mothers Still Want State To Dispose Of Bodies”,
Published Monday November 30, 2015 by Christopher Serju, The Jamaica Gleaner.
He
has also called a meeting on Sunday November 29th 2015 with the KPH (Kingston
Public hospital), VJH (Victoria Jubilee Hospital) and SERHA (South Regional
Health Authority) to discuss the matter as noted in the article “Dalley
calls meeting with hospital management, halts burial of babies”, published
Sunday, November 29, 2015, The
Jamaica Observer.
This
as many Jamaicans, who are good at math as I am, suspect that the sixty five
(65) stillborn babies is a cover-up for the death of more babies from
Klebsiella and Serratia bacterial infection. After all, a total of forty two
(42) other babies were infected, of which nineteen (19) have died.
It
would be easy to hide the remaining twenty three (23) among the stillborn
babies, as no autopsy would be done on babies declared stillborn. Luckily, due
to our religious beliefs, Jamaica is still not a country that incinerates the
dead or slices them up to be use for medical research, as babies are a source
of placenta and Stem cells.
So
you see, it’s not politics, its math!
The
Jamaican Public is not sure what’s really going on with the remaining twenty
three (23) babies infected with Klebsiella and Serratia bacterial infection. Too
many Jamaicans, this may be the PNP covering up their deaths by mixing them in
with the sixty five (65) allegedly stillborn babies.
PM and Christmas – How
the Great Sorrel Shortage of 2015 ad general Elections are a bad idea
But
there is another science reason why Prime Minister of Jamaica Portia
Simpson-Miller did not call the General Elections in December 2015!
Especially
as Chicken, Pork and Sorrel are already in short supply as note in my blog article
entitled “Why
Great Jamaica Sorrel Shortage of 2015 caused by increasing yearly demand - How
Turner Innovations Sorrel picking machine might save Christmas 2015”.
The
Representation of the People Act states that Nomination Day shall be at least
five (5) days after the announcement of an Election, with Election Day to be at
least sixteen (16) days, or not more than twenty three (23) days, after
Nomination day.
This
is clearly not possible, as to avoid the twelve (12) days of Christmas, they
have to call Elections on Wednesday, November 25th 2015, which has
already pas. Had this occurred, then counting from that day Nomination day
would be on Monday November 30th 2015.
Sixteen
(16) days after that would be Election Day which would be on Wednesday,
December 16th 2015 or on Wednesday, December 23rd 2015,
well clear of Friday December 25 2015, Christmas Day!!
So
Science, specifically mathematics (and the Great Sorrel Shortage of 2015),
strikes again!
PM awaiting the New ECJ
Voter's List - Why Younger Voters may vote against the PNP
But
that’s not the only price of math to consider. Turns out another reason for her
calling off the General Election aside from the Dead Babies Scandal and the
great Sorrel Shortage of 2015.
This
s the addition of some 37,000 new voters at the end of November 2015 as noted
in “No
2015 Poll - Portia Opts Not To Call Election This Year”, Published Monday
November 23, 2015 by Daraine Luton, The
Jamaica Gleaner.
The
Statistical breakdown for the for the 34,907 new names added to the list make
for interesting reading as noted in the article “Youth
account for 72% of new additions to voters’ list – ECJ”, published
Wednesday, December 02, 2015, The
Jamaica Observer.
According
to the ECJ (Electoral Commission of Jamaica) the total voter list as of
November 30th 2015 is as follows:
1.
1,824,410, is the total number of voters
2.
1,793,039 names was on the previous list
published in May 2015
Thus
a total of 31,371 persons have been newly enumerated since May till November
2015 and may be a part of the newly enumerated being counted in the now newly
published Voter's list!!
The
ECJ Monday November 30th 2015 voters’ list is composed as thus:
1.
34, 907 new names added to the list
2.
24, 964 of them fell within the 18 to 24
age group.
3.
72% fell within the 18 to 24 age group.
4.
18,589 of the 24,964 enumerated are
between the ages of 18 and 19 years
The
newly enumerated added to the Voter's list are decidedly getting younger too:
1.
8,896 between 25 and 64 years of age
2.
1,047 people over 65 years
Most
of the newly enumerated across all age ranges came from specific
constituencies:
1.
965 from St Catherine Southern
2.
864 Westmoreland Central
Voter
apathy is at an all time high. The enumeration number indicating a younger voting
public.
With
the Great Sorrel Shortage of 2015 plus Pork and Chicken Shortages looming and
the Baby Death Scandal so close, Science, specifically Mathematics, and not
Politics, is dictating when the General Elections is to be called! With this
much heat, cancelling the General Elections makes logical sense, especially
when one considers the electorate, which is getting younger and more in JLP’s
favour.
Granted,
I don’t have the breakdown in terms of age groups across the entire voter's
list. But if this is representative of the entire voter's list, the PNP would
have lost for certain, as Health, Education and Work are universal concerns for
Jamaicans from all walks of life!
Hopefully,
it'll be called before St. Valentine's Day or Carnival, as those are Jamaican
holidays as well!!!
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